SAD Prediction: Purdue vs Illinois

  • November 12, 2022
  • CJ
  • 2 min read

Last week, before the Purdue vs Iowa game, I noted the following:

  • Of the last five games that Purdue has played on the 5th date of a month, they are 1-4.
  • In the last five seasons, Purdue is 10-9 in games played in November while Iowa is 15-5.
  • In the last five seasons, Purdue is 2-0 against Iowa in November.

I put too much weight on that third stat and predicted Purdue to win. And now that weight is just weighing me down.

History

Purdue’s record against the Illinois Fighting Illini is 46-45-6. Surprisingly, it seems evenly split. However, in the last 20 seasons, Purdue is 14-6 in the series. Other random facts about the series:

  • In the last 10 games, Purdue is 7-3 and is currently on a two-game win streak.
  • The last game played at Illinois was in 2020. Purdue won that game 31-24.
  • The last time Illinois won at home against Purdue was in 2010; the score was 10-44.

Champaign

For some reason, Purdue brings the pain when they play in Champaign, Illinois. In the last 10 games played in Champaign against Illinois, Purdue is 8-2.

2020 Purdue 31 Illinois 24
2018 Purdue 46 Illinois 7
2016 Purdue 34 Illinois 31
2014 Purdue 38 Illinois 27
2012 Purdue 20 Illinois 17
2010 Purdue 10 Illinois 44
2006 Purdue 42 Illinois 31
2004 Purdue 38 Illinois 30
2002 Purdue 31 Illinois 38
1997 Purdue 48 Illinois 3

The Ranked Fighting Illini

If I can read the internet correctly, then the last three times that Purdue played Illinois when Illinois was ranked was in 2011, 2001, and 1994. Purdue won twice, in 1994 and 2011.

Prediction

The random information that I chose supports that Purdue will win this game. I am not looking back or second guessing any of the information. Nope. Forget the fact that Illinois is 7-2 this season. Purdue wins.

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